Hacker Newsnew | past | comments | ask | show | jobs | submitlogin

Sorry to be the voice of Bill Cosby but my read of this is that black men are killing each other and then going to prison for it (drug charges are responsible for maybe 20% of people in prison - ie stats would still be largely same without the drug war).

And somehow that's everybody else's fault?



It drives me crazy how many people see a problem like this and are determined to conclude that that problem has only one cause.

So one side decides that the (only) cause is that black people wantonly decide to choose a life of crime when they could just as easily have been upstanding members of society. Ergo, it is all black peoples' fault.

And the other side decides that the (only) cause is that the criminal justice system incarcerates black people disproportionately, exclusively out of racism and bias. Ergo, it is all white peoples' fault.

Why is it so hard to acknowledge that both of these are extreme positions? Both groups of people need to look inward, challenge themselves to fix what is broken, and work together to improve the situation.


On the one hand you can argue there are "systemic" forces which are apparently unquantifiable driving blacks to elevated rates of criminality even after controlling for socio-economic factors. Presumably large, racially discriminatory social programs and cultural programming such as have been tried for the last 40 years are called for to remedy the problem.

On the other hand you can take at face value the reams of data spanning over 80 years showing that across all categories of crime blacks have well over double the white rate. And this pattern holds up internationally, not just in America. We can just accept it as a fact of life and deal with it in a sane way that doesn't waste too much money or wrongly penalize innocent individuals.


> Presumably large, racially discriminatory social programs and cultural programming such as have been tried for the last 40 years are called for to remedy the problem.

There are plenty of obvious things that need fixing, even if you don't believe at all in affirmative action-like programs:

1. Clear conflicts of interest in the criminal justice system, like regular prosecutors being responsible for bringing charges against police, with whom they have close professional and often personal relationships.

2. The unjustifiable war on drugs, which disproportionately affects black communities.

3. Bad behavior by police officers, which likewise disproportionately affects black communities. This is pretty hard to measure because the offenders are the same people who are counting the stats. But we frequently get to see it in shocking display, like when a police officer is caught on video shooting a man who is running away and then planting evidence on him.


I'm personally not convinced why the three points you raised are affecting blacks more than anybody else.

Ie - they are all unquantifiable things with no clear bearing on blacks vs poor whites or other disadvantaged groups.

Yes we have hard figures - such as the murder rate (http://www.huffingtonpost.com/josh-sugarmann/murder-rate-for...):

The homicide rate for black male victims was 31.67 per 100,000. In comparison, the overall homicide rate for male victims was 7.13 per 100,000. For white male victims, the homicide rate was 3.85 per 100,000.

So I fail to see how behavior by the criminal justice system forces black men to kill each other at a rate that's almost 10x of whites.


> I'm personally not convinced why the three points you raised are affecting blacks more than anybody else.

Here's the thing: even if I never convince you of that, all you have to be convinced of is these things are a problem and should be fixed.

Hopefully you believe that obvious conflicts of interest should not exist?

Hopefully you believe that cops should not shoot unarmed people in the back while they are running away, and then plant evidence on them?

Great. Because that's all it takes to believe that these are problems worth fixing.

If you instead drag your feet and say that it's all black people's fault and they should fix it, you're doing exactly what you accuse them of doing.


Hold on a sec. There are 2 separate issues we have:

1. I completely agree that the issues you raised ARE a problem and should be fixed. 100% with you.

2. At the same time I don't think they are the culprit that's responsible for large black crime rate (with attendant thousands dead and 1m+ in prison).


> I completely agree that the issues you raised ARE a problem and should be fixed. 100% with you.

Great! Common ground.

> At the same time I don't think they are the culprit that's responsible for large black crime rate (with attendant thousands dead and 1m+ in prison).

As I mentioned in my first message, I don't think there is a single "the culprit," I think it is a large and complicated problem with many interrelated causes.

But let's even suppose you're 100% right and the things I mentioned have absolutely nothing to do with the black crime rate. One thing that's pretty much irrefutable is that the vast majority of black America (and many white Americans, such as myself) believe they are a factor. This means that taking active steps towards solving them (which we already agreed should happen) will help build trust between groups, making it much easier to work together towards solutions.


> The unjustifiable war on drugs, which disproportionately affects black communities.

See, this gets to the heart of the matter. I personally think the war on drugs is very stupid, but the data indicates that it does not disproportionately affect blacks. Blacks use drugs at much higher rates than whites and blacks distribute drugs at even higher rates than whites. The prosecutions for narcotics crimes are by all indications commensurate with rates of criminal offense.

It may be dumb law, but it's not racist. Cops and prosecutors are simply doing their jobs. If you think there's a racist conspiracy I dare you to prove it.


> It may be dumb law, but it's not racist.

I didn't say it was racist. I said it disproportionately affects blacks. Even if it were true that blacks use drugs at higher rates than whites (and this is disputed: http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2013/09/17/racial-disparity-dr...), reversing an unjustifiable war that affects blacks the most would be a step towards fixing the problem.

> If you think there's a racist conspiracy I dare you to prove it.

I don't think there's a conspiracy. Few people believe that cops get together and make evil plans about how they can treat black people unjustly.

Here's a bigger point though: I mentioned three things that are clearly broken today, and which fixing would work towards repairing some of the problems we are experiencing today. And instead of finding common ground there, you focused on rebutting an accusation of "conspiracy" -- an accusation I didn't even make.

That, right there, is why we collectively spin our wheels and never really get anywhere.


Blacks use drugs at much higher rates than whites and blacks distribute drugs at even higher rates than whites.

Most studies suggest the exact opposite to be true.

http://healthland.time.com/2011/11/07/study-whites-more-like...

http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/wonkblog/wp/2014/09/30/w...


The studies where they simply poll or ask indicate equivalent or lower black narcotics usage. Every piece of research that uses drug testing reveals well over double the rate of white drugs usage.

This is a lie that needs to die. Blacks get arrested for drugs because they have and use drugs, relative to white people.

It was the same with a huge mess of headlines about blacks getting pulled over on north east highways disproportionately. Finally some work was done with hidef cameras that could show the race of drivers that showed blacks speed at well over double the rate of whites. Black drivers get pulled over disproportionately for dangerous driving because, wait for it, they drive dangerously disproportionately.


I'm also skeptical of the "whites take more drugs" argument. The ratio of black to white drug arrests is roughly the same as the ratio for those of violent crimes, and you can't explain away the violent crime ratio by assuming whites don't get arrested for committing them.


I'll take you more seriously when you cite some of these studies or at least link to articles which cite them.


If a stupid law disproportionately harms black people, that's racist.


No, it isn't. Racism has to include a positive correlation with race. And not a correlation with a confounding variable. In this case, the rate of offending is the confounding variable.


Whenever I ready “Sorry to ____, but...” I wonder to myself:

1. Is the speaker truly appalled at saying the thing that follows, but it's a radical, earth-shattering insight will cut through the Gordian Knot, e.g. “I’m really sorry to question the Bible, but maybe the Earth actually is older than 6,000 years?”

Or:

2. Someone’s warning detection is working, but the connection to the brake has been severed, and the speaker wants to charge ahead and say it without any real concern for tone.

If what follows the disclaimer needs to be said, just say it. If you get backlash, deal with it. The faux-pology up front undermines your sincerity rather than reinforcing it.


The 'sorry' part referred to my comment sticking out like a sore thumb. Every other comment goes on about racism, etc - while I see a problem inherent in the subset of individuals themselves.

It's a social thing - to prepare the reader for what may strike them as an unpleasant (yet I believe is true) perspective.


> It's a social thing - to prepare the reader for what may strike them as an unpleasant (yet I believe is true) perspective

I’m perfectly aware of what this is supposed to do on the surface, but I am sharing with you that there is a discrepancy between what you claim to be doing and how at least one person perceives what you are actually doing.

You may think that you’re preparing the reader for an unpleasant truth, but note that if what you were about to say was inarguably true, you could just say it and present the evidence. You yourself admit that it’s just a perspective, another way to say that it’s an opinion.

So by prefacing your perspective with a disclaimer that you know in advance that you are going to present an unpleasant perspective, what you’re saying is that you are going to be unpleasant, you know you are going to be unpleasant, and you know that this isn’t an uncomfortable but incontrovertible truth like the Bible not being literally true.

So what it comes down to is this: Instead of just giving an unpleasant perspective, you have given an unpleasant perspective AND told everyone that you know it’s unpleasant, know that it isn’t and incontrovertible truth, and are telling everyone any ways.

This drags yourself into the discussion. Instead of just thinking about your perspective, we are also asked to think about the fact that the perspective is unpleasant, why it is unpleasant, why you choose to share an unpleasant perspective, why you announce it to us, and so forth.

People might, for example, think that you say such things purely because you enjoy being controversial. Is that true? I don’t know! But when you tell me that you are bing controversial on top of actually being controversial, it’s certainly a reasonable thing to wonder.

Which is why I go back to what I suggested to you: If your perspective is worth sharing, just share it. Leave out the preparation. Don’t derail your point by inviting speculation as to why you’re sharing an unpleasant perspective if you know in advance its unpleasant.

I hope you understand that I’m trying to help you share your ideas--whether I agree with them or not--in the best possible and most constructive manner.


It's like an Asperger points competition here :)

My take is that it's a polite thing to do. Like when a doctor says 'Sorry, this might sting a bit' before they do something. The doctor is not sorry - they're simply acknowledging that they are about to do something unpleasant because they are being polite.

So is this.

I feel that majority of people commenting are afraid to face the truth because they think acknowledging it makes them racist. Well that's what make me say 'Sorry' - as verbalizing it pierces their self-created bubble in which certain thoughts are considered crimethink.


Wow you are really brave


>And somehow that's everybody else's fault?

Yah, it's called institutional racism.

Policy generated poverty, sub par educational standards exacerbated by the destruction of the nuclear family, and a significant percentage of people who can't earn livable wages or vote after being filtered through the industrial prison complex.

We are human beings, there is enough history to suggest we behave like savages when reduced to the lowest common denominator.

Btw, murders can be related to drugs with out there being a drug related conviction (ie: gang turf wars)


Institutional racism in the US was a lot stronger 60 or 100 years ago - yet the level of black crime was significantly lower.

I had a hard time finding chart to show this, but here is the Chicago murder rate chart for 1870-2008: http://i1354.photobucket.com/albums/q689/john_albert1/murder...

I see a huge spike in the 60s with gradual leveling - but we are still 3x higher than before whatever happened in the 1960s...


I think everyone acknowledges things have gotten better, but the effects of institutional racism are pretty long-term.

Just an example, but up until maybe a generation ago, it was nigh-impossible to get a mortgage on your house if you were black or decided to live in a neighborhood that was less than 95% white. Even when going through federal aid programs.

Meaning people end up having to go through what are basically loan sharks to get housing for their family, and if anything at all happened, the house is lost instantly. Makes it pretty hard for the grandparents to retire in their tiny house when nobody actually owns the property.

I think the crime level stats are usually confounding with poverty rates. Pretty sure the color of one's skin doesn't make it more likely to kill someone, but there's an argument for poor environments (for example, the worst apartment possible because literally no one else will rent to you, in an area with poor social services) helping spawn crime.


You can't think about demographic issues in terms of assigning fault. On a statistical level across large populations, fate is determined from before you turn 6 (upbringing, genetics, etc.)


A huge number of people are in jail for commiting violent crimes that while not labled "drug related", are still related to the war on drugs. Drug prohibition funds gangs and cartels, which directly leads to a host of other crimes.

If you ended the war on drugs, it's likely that the prison population would drop by much more than 20%.


I'm not sure that's a given. Ie once drug trade loses its profitability, I expect the individuals involved in it to move to something else (but hardly to other poorly paid jobs requiring commensurate levels of education).

Ie - did ending of prohibition bring the end of the organized crime?


I would be perfectly happy to accept a massive reduction in organized crime, even if it doesn't end.

Crime is not perfectly fungible. There just isn't another victimless crime available with this kind of popularity and profitability.


I'm all for decriminalizing drugs, no argument from me on that.

However Portugal homicide rate went up by 40% after they did it (https://fullfact.org/factchecks/Portugal_decriminalisation_d...). So not sure it's the silver bullet people expet.


Here's another take on it:

[1]A widely repeated claim is that, as a result of Portugal’s decriminalisation policy, drug-related homicides increased 40% between 2001 and 2006. But this claim is based on a misrepresentation of the evidence. The 40% increase (from 105 to 148) was for all homicides, defined as any 'intentional killing of a person, including murder, manslaughter, euthanasia and infanticide' – they were not 'drug-related’

[1] http://www.tdpf.org.uk/blog/drug-decriminalisation-portugal-...


That document pretty explicitly says it has no idea if the statistic is linked to drug policy.

However, even if we posit that the correlation is significant, I'm not sure what you can read into this. While comparatively enlightened, Portugal did not legalize drug possession and didn't decriminalize vending of drugs. So organized crime is still the one making (and fighting over) all the money.

To this day, the best example of the social effects of repealing prohibition is the repeal of Prohibition.


Good point, thank you.


Combined state and federal incarceration in 2012: 47.7% violent, 52.3% non violent, of which 20.5% is drug related.[1] See also that 20% of 1.5 million is 300,000 people, a lot.

Imagine for a moment a community where 50% of men over 18 are or have been in prison. If you erase 20% of that number then you have a community with a 10% bump in its productive male population. I would imagine that boost in available parents would keep some of those young men from ever slipping into cyclical violence.

[1]http://felonvoting.procon.org/view.resource.php?resourceID=0...


Where did you get these stats? Your statement does not seem to acknowledge that there is an interdependence between violence/homicide and illegal drug trade.


Do you have a source for your 20% figure?



This source does not back your claims at all.

Firstly, it doesn't break the statistics down by race. Blacks are arrested disproportionately for drug crimes [1][2], you can't assume because the general prison population is 20% that the same is true of a subpopulation.

The FBI shows that White commit disproportionately more violent crimes[3] - though it is important to note that the FBI stats are arrests, and not prison. Blacks get harsher prison sentences for all categories, and thus would make up a higher percentage of prison populations than if sentences were even across races.

To show you why its other peoples problem look at your own sentence here:

>black men are killing each other

Over what? The answer here is the drug war creating hyper competitive and very well paying black markets, especially prevalent in poor communities where drug abuse is the most common (and thus drug dealing and territory are more lucrative).

No one is absolving the black community of responsibility, it would be crazy to do so. But to place ALL of the blame on a community with the worst schools, the least nuclear families, the highest rates of drug use, and the least financial stability would be well passed insensitive.

The problem is the subjugation of the lower class, blacks just happen to be disproportionately in the class and have been for generations. Looking at these statistics by race is a red herring in the first place. What we need is to be seeing crime statistic based on socioeconomic status. It will then be obvious what parts of society are breeding crime.

[1]http://www.brookings.edu/blogs/social-mobility-memos/posts/2... [2]http://www.nytimes.com/2014/07/29/opinion/high-time-the-inju... [3]http://www.fbi.gov/about-us/cjis/ucr/crime-in-the-u.s/2012/c...


I won't argue about most of your points as we disagree on the fundamental level (i subscribe to the Bill Cosby view as elaborated in http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pound_Cake_speech).

However - your read of the FBI data (which I frequently use myself) is completely off. Blacks are responsible for significantly higher crime rate than whites (for whom that table doesn't work because it mixes Mexicans and whites in one column). To wit:

Blacks are 13% of population but are MAJORITY of arrests for murder (49%).

That's more than 3x their share of the population.

All other rows they are also heavily represented. The only row where they are below their population number is DUI.


agreed.




Guidelines | FAQ | Lists | API | Security | Legal | Apply to YC | Contact

Search: