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Crime rates and school rankings are the two places where the general populations inability to understand statistics really come home to roost.


Intuitively this seems right, but I wouldn't mind hearing more about what exactly the general populace is misunderstanding there.


The biggest thing with crime rates is understanding relative risk. The crime rate in another neighborhood may be 40% higher than yours, but that by itself is relatively meaningless. The reality is that in the vast majority of places in the United States you are very unlikely to be the victim of the crime. Even if you stay in a particular neighborhood for decades.

I've never been able to ascertain wether the insistence that suburbs are much safer comes from not understanding the actual risk, or something more sinister (racism - probably unintentional).




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