> But I no longer believe that Claude will be able to write complex software on its own.

"on its own" is doing a lot of work here. Dario went into the differences in this very podcast: "Most code is written by agents" is not the same as "most code is written without or independent of human input".

I suspect that is how different outcomes can be explained (even without having to assume that Anthropic/OpenAI engineers are outright lying.)