Well, starting from the 1840s onwards, we saw far more revolutions than ever before.
The European revolts of 1848, the Paris Commune, the Russian Revolution, the Chinese Revolution, the Cuban Revolution, all the others (Vietnamese, Korean, etc.).
Then we also had the counter-revolutions in Germany and Italy, etc.
Tocqueville was a bad analyst, but people who say what others want to hear stand a decent chance of failing upwards (see: American invasion of Iraq, etc.).
And how does that compare to the frequency of revolutions in earlier periods?
The premise wasn’t that there would be no further revolutions. Just that they would be more rare. I think it’s important to think on this from a 500 year horizon rather than just what’s happened recently.
The European revolts of 1848, the Paris Commune, the Russian Revolution, the Chinese Revolution, the Cuban Revolution, all the others (Vietnamese, Korean, etc.).
Then we also had the counter-revolutions in Germany and Italy, etc.
Tocqueville was a bad analyst, but people who say what others want to hear stand a decent chance of failing upwards (see: American invasion of Iraq, etc.).