The current situation in Auckland, New Zealand provides very good evidence of va... | Hacker News

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		roca on Nov 26, 2021 \| parent \| context \| favorite \| on: I faked tons of Covid passes – “Weak Key Cryptogra... The current situation in Auckland, New Zealand provides very good evidence of vaccines reducing spread, though I don't think it has been written up in a paper yet. We've had < 10,000 confirmed COVID cases in Auckland so the vast majority of the 2M population cannot have natural immunity. Behavior restrictions have been relaxed gradually over the last two months, yet the COVID case numbers (which were increasing) have actually leveled out at an R value of around 1. Vaccination is the only thing that could plausibly have reduced that infection rate.

Ekaros on Nov 26, 2021 [–]

I wonder if seasonal variations have a effect. New Zealand is closing on summer, which my understanding was less bad in Europe.

roca on Nov 26, 2021 | [–]

Auckland's climate is pretty mild year-round.

Seasonality is a confounder, for sure, but I haven't heard any experts claim it as an explanation here.

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