Example: Perhaps "Amazon US Services LLC" or whichever subsidiary they have that deals with the government will be banned from using Claude, and all of it's other subsidiaries won't?
That $961 billion includes things like airplanes and bullets, tech companies are only getting a taste of that pie not anywhere close to the whole thing.
I strongly look forward to it being 5 years from now and having "what the software industry looks like with AI factored in" question settled. I'm tired of the uncertainty in our industry.
With the changes to the H1B in the US, it seems it's trending to offshoring and a smaller market in general, which is a bummer for US-based people, but even then I'd just like this all settled.
For a lot of high value per employee businesses it usually makes more sense to hire local. Offshoring is usually for jobs that don’t directly generate profits and more of a necessity. If you’re a programmer you shouldn’t work for a company where coding isn’t a profit center
I'd be amused beyond all reason if we saw this chain of events:
- Anthropic says "no"
- DoD says "ok you're a supply chain risk" (meaning many companies with gov't contracts can no longer use them)
- A bunch of tech companies say "you know what? We think we'd lose more money from falling behind on AI than we'd lose from not having your contracts."
Bonus points if its some of the hyperscalers like AWS.
Hilarity ensues as they blow up (pun intended) their whole supply chain and rapidly backtrack.
Being labeled a supply chain risk means that companies with government contracts cannot use Anthropic products _for those government contracts_, not that they have to cease all usage of Anthropic products. Reporters seem to be reporting on this incorrectly.
This is correct. Maybe the startups living off DARPA/MTEC/etc contracts would continue using Claude, but the LM/NOG/Collins types wouldn't touch Anthropic with a ten foot pole.
When Typora has an iPhone client as good as their other clients, I’ll give up using a mix of Typora and Obsidian and just do all Typora. Neither of them seem to do everything I need. I hope MS does Notepad right, that could be useful.
I find a spend most of my time defining interfaces and putting comments down now (“// this function does x”). Then I tell it “implement function foo, as described in the doc comment” or “implement all functions that are TODO”. It’s pretty good at filling in a skeleton you’ve laid out.
This is the phone version of saying “the power utility is an evil awful monopoly that treats me like shit, so I’m gonna get solar and batteries and go off grid.”
It’s cool it’s possible, but it’s not practical for most people.
What do you think the major practical downsides are? Maybe you are not aware of how many things perfectly work or how easy some workaround are, so I am wondering.
The average person uses Chrome with no ad-blocker on and has never opened a terminal emulator. HN wildly sways to a tech-aware audience. I think most people would read the simple instructions provided by the author and immediately be overwhelmed and confused - "what's a bootloader, why do I need to care about unlocking it, is this going to break my phone?!"
- Everyone is expected to be able to create a signing keyset that's protected by a Yubikey, Touch ID, Face ID, or something that requires a physical activation by a human. Let's call this this "I'm human!" cert.
- There's some standards body (a root certificate authority) that allow lists the hardware allowed to make the "I'm human!" cert.
- Many webpages and tools like GitHub send you a nonce, and you have to sign it with your "I'm a human" signing tool.
- Different rules and permissions apply for humans vs AIs to stop silliness like this.
This future would lead to bad actors stealing or buying the identity of other people, and making agents use those identities.
There is a precedent today: there is a shady business of "free" VPNs where the user installs a software that, besides working as a VPN, also allows the company to sell your bandwidth to scrappers that want to buy "residential proxies" to bypass blocks on automated requests. Most such users of free VPNs are unaware their connection is exploited like this, and unaware that if a bad actor uses their IP as "proxy", it may show up in server logs while associated to a crime (distributing illegal material, etc)
But also many countries have ID cards with a secure element type of chip, certificates and NFC and when a website asks for your identity you hold the ID to your phone and enter a PIN.
https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1018724/000101872423...
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